{"id":5411,"date":"2026-04-24T13:09:05","date_gmt":"2026-04-24T13:09:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/myanmarmuslim.news\/en\/?p=5411"},"modified":"2026-04-24T13:09:05","modified_gmt":"2026-04-24T13:09:05","slug":"the-future-political-landscape-a-multipolar-world-in-transition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/myanmarmuslim.news\/en\/2026\/04\/24\/the-future-political-landscape-a-multipolar-world-in-transition\/","title":{"rendered":"The Future Political Landscape: A Multipolar World in Transition"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A Multipolar World in Transition (2025\u20132030)<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

The overarching shift is already happening. The era of American global primacy was not going to last forever, but its downfall has been accelerated by leaders in Washington. Notably, even senior US officials acknowledge this \u2014 Secretary of State Marco Rubio has argued that a unipolar world “was an anomaly, a product of the end of the Cold War,” and that a return to a multipolar world was inevitable. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The highest likelihood outcome for world order in the decade ahead is not a unipolar order or a Cold War-style bipolar competition, but a loose multipolarity. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump’s tariffs on NATO allies, the EU, Canada, Australia, and the UK have done serious structural damage to the trust architecture the US built over 80 years. Washington built international institutions \u2014 the UN, NATO, the WTO, the IMF, and other bodies \u2014 that were designed to lock in American power long after the United States started to decline. Trump’s dismantling of these relationships is effectively handing back that long-term leverage for short-term wins.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prediction:<\/strong> Europe will accelerate its strategic autonomy. Germany’s military build-up is already underway. The EU is struggling to position itself in the new geopolitical order \u2014 it lacks military power and is reliant on other countries for key resources, and will either continue to influence Trump for damage control or push through economic, fiscal, and political reforms. Within 2\u20133 years, expect a more independent European defence posture, less reliant on American security guarantees.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump’s visa bans on Muslim-majority countries and mass deportation campaigns via ICE are destroying America’s most potent \u2014 and often underestimated \u2014 instrument of influence: soft power<\/strong>. The US built decades of goodwill through education, culture, and openness. That reservoir is draining fast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prediction:<\/strong> The US will lose the competition for global talent and diplomacy in the developing world. Countries like Malaysia, the UAE, Canada, the UK, and Australia will absorb displaced students, scholars, and professionals \u2014 gaining intellectual capital at America’s expense. Muslim-majority nations (57 OIC countries with 1.8 billion people) will increasingly pivot toward China and Russia for trade, investment, and diplomatic alignment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The world is currently experiencing a record number of armed conflicts, with researchers observing an increasing internationalization of internal conflicts driven by heightened great-power competition and more assertive foreign-policy stances. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump’s unconditional support for Israel’s military campaigns and repeated UNSC vetoes are accelerating a crisis of legitimacy in the rules-based international order. Rather than strengthening international law, multipolarization is moving the world away from an order with standards \u2014 even if inconsistently applied \u2014 toward an order without any standards at all. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prediction:<\/strong> The Global South, already skeptical of Western double standards, will further reject US moral authority. The International Criminal Court, the ICJ, and UN mechanisms will gain alternative legitimacy centres \u2014 with support from the EU, African Union, and non-aligned nations \u2014 even as the US boycotts or undermines them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The weaponization of the dollar \u2014 through sanctions, tariff threats, and financial exclusions \u2014 is backfiring. The weaponization of global finance has prompted a surge in local-currency settlements and the development of alternative financial infrastructures. The world is not just geopolitically diversified; it is financially fragmented as well. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

BRICS nations are actively pursuing de-dollarization. Countries like India have proposed the idea of de-dollarization by commencing regional trade among BRICS nations in their local currencies, with the fundamental objective of countering what they see as the abrasive and threatening attitude of US President Trump. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prediction:<\/strong> The dollar will not collapse in 2\u20133 years \u2014 it remains structurally dominant \u2014 but its share of global reserves will continue declining from ~58% toward 50%. US inflation and fiscal deficits will erode purchasing power. Countries will increasingly use CNY, INR, and local currency swap arrangements for bilateral trade, especially in energy and commodities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Since Trump took power, it has become evident that raw power \u2014 control over minerals, energy, and food \u2014 and military strength are what counts. Multipolarity is one of the most unstable political systems because it assumes a high degree of uncertainty about the intentions of other states, increasing miscalculations, competition, and leading to frequently shifting alliances. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it’s crucial to be precise about what the “competing bloc” actually is:<\/p>\n\n\n\n