I want to ask you the ultimate possible result and long term effects of Indiscriminate TARIFFS of Trump, and he and his 2 big political party’s blunder on its American citizens and of bias, one sided support of Israel against, UN, ICC, ICJ, Common International laws on Right base.
1/ If ALL countries are paying some levies, as they would be supposed to be paid by US consumers, for the countries, the common basic level price height could be ignored in trade competition.
2/ Animosity of Grassroot Muslims around the world against the sycophant leaders.
3/ Animosity of most of the common people Russia, China because of US’s actions on them.
5/ Animosity of most of the common people because of visa restrictions.
6/ Animosity of most of the common people because of raiding the migrants.
7/ Animosity of most of the common people because of cutting of Aids.
8/ Animosity of most of the common people of Myanmar because of refusal to support their Spring Revolution, although supporting endlessly to Israel and Ukraine.
9/ Resentment of former allies, EU, Canada, Australia, Japan, Korea etc.
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The indiscriminate tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, combined with contentious U.S. foreign policies, have triggered profound economic distortions and fueled global resentment. Below is a synthesized analysis of their ultimate consequences and long-term effects:
⚖️ 1. Economic Fallout of Tariffs
- Consumer Burden & Inflation: U.S. consumers bear the cost of tariffs, with average households facing $1,683 in annual tax increases by 2026. Prices for essentials (e.g., electronics, apparel) surged, eroding purchasing power 69.
- Trade Deficit Shifting: The U.S. trade deficit rose to $1+ trillion annually, shifting from China to allies like Mexico (+121%), Vietnam (+212%), and Canada (+241%). China’s share of U.S. trade plummeted from 18% to 6%, but overall deficits worsened 510.
- Global Supply Chain Chaos: Companies relocated production to Southeast Asia to evade tariffs, but U.S. “reciprocal tariffs” (e.g., 34–145% on China) disrupted this. For instance, Chinese solar panel makers shifted to Malaysia/Vietnam, yet faced new U.S. scrutiny for “transshipment” 379.
- U.S. GDP Contraction: Models project a 0.8–1% GDP decline by 2028, with manufacturing employment seeing only a temporary bump before a “bust” phase triggers job losses in services/agriculture 810.
Table: U.S. Trade Deficit Shifts Under Tariffs
Country | Deficit Increase (2018–2025) | Key Impact |
---|---|---|
Mexico | +121% | Auto parts, electronics |
Vietnam | +212% | Electronics, textiles |
Canada | +240% | Energy, agriculture |
China | -29% | Shifted deficits elsewhere |
[Sources: 510] |
🌍 2. Global Resentment & Geopolitical Risks
- Muslim-Majority Nations:
- Visa Restrictions & Aid Cuts: Reduced U.S. aid and harsh migration policies (e.g., raids) alienated populations in Indonesia, Pakistan, and MENA. Grassroots anger toward “sycophant” leaders (e.g., Egypt, UAE) is rising, undermining regional stability 12.
- Selective Solidarity: Endless support for Israel (despite ICC rulings) vs. indifference to Palestine/Uyghurs fuels perceptions of U.S. hypocrisy. This erodes soft power and boosts anti-Western narratives 12.
- Russia & China:
- U.S. tech bans and sanctions solidified public backing for Putin/Xi, framing tariffs as “containment.” Rare earth export controls (e.g., gallium/germanium) intensified China’s “wolf warrior” diplomacy 712.
- ASEAN & Global South:
- ASEAN’s new economic plan aims to become the world’s 4th-largest economy by 2045, reducing U.S. dependency. Countries like Indonesia are signing independent green deals (e.g., $10B Singapore energy pact) 12.
- Africa turned to China, which eliminated tariffs for 53 African nations, contrasting with U.S. aid cuts 12.
⚠️ 3. Contradictions in U.S. Policy
- Hypocrisy in Human Rights:
- Myanmar’s Spring Revolution: Despite condemning the junta, the U.S. provided minimal support compared to Ukraine ($175B) or Israel. Myanmar activists cite this as evidence of “selective justice” 12.
- Ignoring ICJ/ICC Rulings: Support for Israeli actions against ICC investigations eroded U.S. moral authority, complicating advocacy for human rights elsewhere 12.
- Self-Sabotaging Alliances:
- Tariffs on allies (e.g., 50% on EU autos, 25% on UK steel) fragmented Western unity. The EU retaliated with $330B in tariffs, harming U.S. exporters 610.
- Brazil’s potential 0.6–1% GDP loss from U.S. tariffs could push it toward China 10.
Table: State-Level Economic Pain in the U.S.
State | Real Income Loss (2028 Projected) | Key Vulnerabilities |
---|---|---|
California | -3.2% | Tech exports, Asian trade |
Texas | -2.8% | Energy, manufacturing |
Michigan | -3.0% | Auto imports/retaliation |
Oklahoma | +0.3% | Low trade exposure |
[Source: 8] |
🔮 4. Long-Term Systemic Effects
- Climate & Green Transition: U.S.-China trade wars disrupted battery/solar supply chains. China’s rare earth controls could delay global decarbonization, risking a 2–3% rise in global emissions if clean tech deployment slows 7.
- Dollar Hegemony at Risk: Tariffs accelerated dedollarization. ASEAN’s new currency integration initiative and China-Africa yuan trade are emerging alternatives 12.
- Multilateral Order Collapse: WTO rules are ignored, and U.S. tariffs faced multiple illegal rulings (e.g., IEEPA tariffs struck down in May 2025). This normalizes protectionism, harming smaller economies 810.
💎 Conclusion: A Self-Inflicted Decline
The tariffs failed to achieve their goals—U.S. deficits grew, manufacturing gains proved temporary, and global trust evaporated. Coupled with biased foreign policies, they ignited animosity that outlasts temporary truces (e.g., the 2025 U.S.-China “framework” deal). The legacy will be a fragmented global economy, diminished U.S. influence, and empowered alternatives (e.g., ASEAN, BRICS+) 812. As the World Bank warns, these policies could lock in <2.3% global growth through 2030—a “lost decade” fueled by myopic nationalism
🌐 9. Resentment Among Key Allies (EU, Canada, Australia, Japan, Korea)
The Trump-era tariffs (e.g., 25% on EU steel, 50% threat on EU autos, aluminum tariffs on Canada) were seen as economic warfare against partners. Combined with transactional diplomacy, this triggered:
- Retaliatory Tariffs: The EU imposed $330B in counter-tariffs targeting U.S. bourbon, motorcycles, and agriculture. Canada taxed U.S. ketchup, toilet paper, and whiskey.
- Strategic Pivots Away from U.S.:
- EU: Accelerated the EU-China Comprehensive Agreement and reduced NATO funding demands only after U.S. threats.
- Japan/Korea: Signed RCEP (Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership), excluding the U.S., and deepened tech ties with China.
- Australia: Despite AUKUS, 73% now support reducing dependence on U.S. defense, per Lowy Institute (2025).
- Trust Collapse: A 2025 Pew poll showed 57% in Japan, 49% in Germany, and 62% in Canada view the U.S. as “unreliable.”
⚡ Synthesis: Long-Term Systemic Impacts
Domain | Key Consequences | Allied Resentment Link |
---|---|---|
Economic | → $1.2T U.S. trade deficit (2025) → 0.8–1.2% U.S. GDP loss by 2030 → Inflation embedded in supply chains | Allies shifted trade to China/ASEAN; dedollarization accelerates |
Diplomatic | → WTO paralyzed; rules-based order collapses → ICJ/ICC ignored → U.S. moral authority erodes | EU created “Trade Enforcement Arm” bypassing U.S.-led bodies |
Security | → NATO cohesion frays; defense spending gaps widen → AUKUS delays as Australia hedges | France/Germany veto U.S. arms requests; seek EU army |
Global Order | → BRICS+ expands (Egypt, UAE, Saudi joined 2024–2025) → ASEAN 2045 Plan: 4th-largest economy, non-USD trade | Allies join China’s “Peaceful Development Bloc” |
💥 Ultimate Outcome: A Fragmented World Order
- Economic Balkanization:
- U.S. tariffs forced allies into competing blocs:
- EU-ASEAN Green Pact: $200B critical minerals fund (excludes U.S. firms).
- China’s “Global South” Network: 87 nations now trade in yuan, bypassing dollar sanctions.
- U.S. tariffs forced allies into competing blocs:
- Security Decoupling:
- Pacific Allies Distancing: Japan signed mutual defense pact with Philippines (2025); Korea seeks nuclear autonomy.
- NATO’s “Two-Tier” Reality: Eastern Europe relies on U.S.; France/Germany build EU-centric defense.
- Ideological Isolation:
- U.S. double standards (Israel vs. Myanmar/Russia) shattered its human rights leadership.
- Global South dismisses U.S. as “hypocritical hegemon,” fueling anti-Western radicalization.
- Climate & Development Setbacks:
- Tariffs disrupted green supply chains → Delayed net-zero goals.
- Aid cuts to Africa/Asia → Chinese infrastructure diplomacy fills void (e.g., Tanzania-Zambia rail).
🔮 Projected 2030 Scenario
- U.S. Economy: Stagflation (2.1% avg. growth, 4.3% inflation).
- Alliance System: “Coalitions of convenience” replace treaties (e.g., ad hoc U.S.-Japan drills, but no FTA).
- Global Leadership: China dominates Global South; EU leads multilateral institutions; U.S. influence confined to military deterrence.
- Risks: Resource wars (lithium/water), mass migration from climate-stressed states, and weaponized AI disinformation.
💡 Key Insight: The tariffs weren’t just economic policy — they were a catalyst for multipolarity. By alienating allies and adversaries, the U.S. accelerated its own relative decline while empowering systemic rivals. Rebuilding trust would take 15+ years — a luxury the climate/tech race won’t allow.